BB(2,5): Difference between revisions

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m →Solved with moderate rigor: Removed random comma
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another minor precision (last Rocq confirmations by @mxdys)
 
(74 intermediate revisions by 10 users not shown)
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* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA1RA1RA_2LB2RA---4RB1LB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA1RA1RA_2LB2RA---4RB1LB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB3LB---4LA1RB_2LA4LA4LB3RB1RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1375584513777995957 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB3LB---4LA1RB_2LA4LA4LB3RB1RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1375584513777995957 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA}}. Probviously halting. 1/8 chance of beating champ.
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA}}. Probviously halting. Estimated 25 to 50% chance of beating champion.


==Top Halters==
==Top Halters==
Line 27: Line 27:
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ|halt}}
|<math>10 \uparrow\uparrow 4.8142742</math>
|<math>>10^{10^{10^{3\,314\,360}}} \approx 10 \uparrow\uparrow 4.8142742</math>
|Daniel Yuan
|Daniel Yuan
|-
|-
Line 33: Line 33:
|<math>>10^{38\,033}</math>
|<math>>10^{38\,033}</math>
|Pavel Kropitz
|Pavel Kropitz
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB|halt}}
|<math>>6.9 \times 10^{933}</math>
|Daniel Yuan [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722]
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|<math>>1.9 \times 10^{704}</math>
|<math>>1.9 \times 10^{704}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB|halt}}
|<math>>8.3 \times 10^{466}</math> (lower bound given by score)
|Daniel Yuan
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ|halt}}
Line 49: Line 49:
|<math>>1.6 \times 10^{211}</math>
|<math>>1.6 \times 10^{211}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}
|~ 10<sup>198</sup>
|[https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 prurq]
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|<math>>5.2 \times 10^{61}</math>
|<math>>5.2 \times 10^{61}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|halt}}
|<math>>5.6 \times 10^{53}</math>
|prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
|-
|{{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|halt}}
|<math>>7.3 \times 10^{28}</math>
|prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|<math>>7 \times 10^{21}</math>
|<math>>7 \times 10^{21}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA|halt}}
|<math>>6.0 \times 10^{21}</math>
|prurq and LegionMammal978
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA4LA2RB1LA_2LA4RB---3RA3LA|halt}}
|<math>> 1.6 \times 10^{20}</math>
|prurq and LegionMammal978
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA|undecided}}
|> 10<sup>20</sup> (more accurate runtime yet to be calculated)
|LegionMammal978
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB1RZ4LA4LB2RA_2LB2RB3RB2RA0RB|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB1RZ4LA4LB2RA_2LB2RB3RB2RA0RB|halt}}
Line 70: Line 94:
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA3RB1RZ4RA1LA|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LB4RB2RB---_1LA3RA4RA3LB1LB|halt}}
|417,310,842,648,366
|<math>6.64187 \times 10^{15}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|mxdys
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RB4LB2LB---_2LA0LA3RB0LA2RA|halt}}
|<math>3.1317 \times 10^{15}</math>
|mxdys
|-
|{{TM|1RB0RA3LB1LB---_2LA3RB4RB3RA0LA|halt}}
|<math>2.7527 \times 10^{15}</math>
|mxdys
|}
 
== History ==
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible"
! colspan="6" |Timeline of bounds established for Σ(2,5) and S(2,5)<ref name=":PMH">Pascal Michel. (last updated 2026). The Busy Beaver Competition: a historical survey. https://bbchallenge.org/~pascal.michel/ha#tm62</ref>
|-
!Month of discovery
!Machine
!S(2,5)
!Σ(2,5)
!Discoverer
!Notes
|-
| rowspan="2" |February 2005
|{{TM|4RB2LA4LA4RA3LA_1LA4LA4RA3RB3LH|halt}}
|≥ 16,268,767
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 3,685
| rowspan="3" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.<ref name=":0">https://web.archive.org/web/20160420171959/http://www.drb.insel.de/~heiner/BB/bbsimtab.html</ref>
| rowspan="2" |These bounds were published simultaneously.
|-
|{{TM|4LB1RH2RA0LB3LB_2RA3LB3RB2LB1LB|halt}}
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 15,754,273
|≥ 4,099
|-
|April 2005
|{{TM|1RB4LA1LA2LA1RA_3LA1RZ1RA2RA4RB|halt}}
|≥ 148,304,214
|≥ 11,120
|
|-
|August 2005
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA1RA3RA_2LB3LA3RA4RB1RZ|halt}}
|≥ 8,619,024,596
|≥ 90,604
| rowspan="8" |Lafitte, G., Papazian,&nbsp;C.<ref name=":0" />
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB|halt}}
|September&nbsp;2005
|26,375,397,569,930
|{{TM|1RB2RB3RB4LA3RA_0LA4RB1RZ0RB1LB|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 7,543,673,517
|≥ 97,104
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LB4LB4LA2RA_2LA1RZ3RB4RA3RB|halt}}
| rowspan="2" |October 2005
|14,103,258,269,249
|{{TM|1RB3RB3RB1LA3LB_2LA3RA4LB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
|≥ 233,431,192,481
|≥ 458,357
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3RA4LB2RA3LA_2LA1RZ4RB4RB2LB|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB3LB1RZ1LA1LA_2LA3RB4LB4LB3RA|halt}}
|3,793,261,759,791
|≥ 912,594,733,606
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
|≥ 1,957,771
|
|-
|-
|December 2005
|{{TM|1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ|halt}}
|924,180,005,181
|≥ 924,180,005,181
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 1,137,477
|
|-
|May 2006
|{{TM|1RB3RA4LB2RA3LA_2LA2LZ4RB4RB2LB|halt}}
|≥ 3,793,261,759,791
|≥ 2,576,467
|
|-
|June 2006
|{{TM|1RB3LB4LB4LA2RA_2LA4LZ3RB4RA3RB|halt}}
|≥ 14,103,258,269,249
|≥ 4,848,239
|
|-
|July 2006
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB|halt}}
|≥ 26,375,397,569,930
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 143
|
|-
|August 2006
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|≥&nbsp;7,069,449,877,176,007,352,687
|≥&nbsp;172,312,766,455
| rowspan="4" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.<ref name=":0" />
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LB1RZ1LA1LA_2LA3RB4LB4LB3RA|halt}}
| rowspan="2" |October 2007
|912,594,733,606
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
|> 5.28 × 10<sup>61</sup>
|> 9.38 × 10<sup>30</sup>
|
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ|halt}}
|> 1.67 × 10<sup>211</sup>
|> 5.28 × 10<sup>105</sup>
|Another functionally equivalent machine which showed the same bounds was published simultaneously.
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RB3LA2RA3RA_2LB2LA3LA4RB1RZ|halt}}
|November 2007
|469,121,946,086
|{{TM|1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
|> 1.90 × 10<sup>704</sup>
|> 1.78 × 10<sup>352</sup>
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3RB3RB1LA3LB_2LA3RA4LB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|July 2023
|233,431,192,481
|{{TM|1RB2LB4LB3LA1RZ_1LA3RA3LB0LB0RA|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
|> 6.5 × 10<sup>38,033</sup>
|> 7.3 × 10<sup>19,016</sup>
|Kropitz, P.
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LB1RA3RA_2LB3LA3RA4RB1RZ|halt}}
|June 2024
|8,619,024,596
|{{TM|1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ|halt}}
|Grégory Lafitte and Christophe Papazian
| colspan="2" |> 10<sup>10<sup>10<sup>3,314,360</sup></sup></sup>
|Yuan, D.
|
|}
|}
Bounds highlighted in <span style="background: #FFCCCC">red</span> indicate those which did not improve upon the best known at the time.


== Certified progress ==
=== Certified progress ===
In April 2024, Shawn Ligocki publicly released a list of 23,411 undecided BB(2,5) machines. Justin Blanchard then made substantial progress over the course of the next month, reducing the list to 499 [[Holdouts lists|holdouts]] by late May 2024. In June 2024, @mxdys cut down the list to 273 using halting and inductive deciders, and again to 217 using [[Closed Tape Language|CTL]]. In February 2025, @mxdys ran a decider pipeline in Rocq that resulted in only 173 holdouts. Since then, additional machines have been proven in Rocq using both deciders and individual proofs.  
In April 2024, Shawn Ligocki publicly released a list of 23,411 undecided BB(2,5) machines. Justin Blanchard then made substantial progress over the course of the next month, reducing the list to 499 [[Holdouts lists|holdouts]] by late May 2024. In June 2024, @mxdys cut down the list to 273 using halting and inductive deciders, and again to 217 using [[Closed Tape Language|CTL]]. In February 2025, @mxdys ran a decider pipeline in Rocq that resulted in only 173 holdouts. Since then, additional machines have been proven in Rocq using both deciders and individual proofs.  


On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355593937531961365 29 Mar 2025], @mxdys published a list of 83 holdouts that withstood state-of-the-art Rocq deciders.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355593937531961365 29 Mar 2025], @mxdys published a list of 83 holdouts that withstood state-of-the-art Rocq deciders. Over the course of 5 months, @mxdys added 8 machines to Rocq<sup>[https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355799763437752521 <nowiki>[1]</nowiki>][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355828077023854752 <nowiki>[2]</nowiki>][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379521528869421137 <nowiki>[3]</nowiki>][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 <nowiki>[4]</nowiki>][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 <nowiki>[5]</nowiki>]</sup>, lowering the certified holdout count to 75.
 
Using existing C++ deciders, Andrew Ducharme found two machines non-halting on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1466208979511414885 29 Jan 2026] and [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471227102844944510 11 Feb 2026]. On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481197573611061311 11 March 2026], Peacemaker II solved a permutation of one of the TMs Andrew solved by tweaking some of the decider parameters. @mxdys verified each result the days [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1466331107279769736 they] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471228798505582602 were] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481326301209165877 announced]. Also on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481326301209165877 11 Feb 2026,] @mxdys [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471229409829847111 proved in Rocq another TM as a translated cycler]. This combined progress reduced the formal holdout count to 71.
 
On 16 March 2026, mxdys formalised a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1290449717536489622 proof from October 2024] and a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1428501877947109437 proof from October 2025], thus reducing the holdout count to 69.<sup>[https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1483043448855461989 <nowiki>[6]</nowiki>][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1483043657778069564 <nowiki>[7]</nowiki>]</sup>
 
On 1 April 2026, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488737894943166604 Discord user mammillaria shared a Lean formalisation of the BMO 3 problem and its solution], which he created using [https://aristotle.harmonic.fun/ Aristotle AI]. Then [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488898494386274374 mxdys formalised the result] in Rocq using LLMs, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1489095097373954199 then extended it] the next day to solve a [[Beaver Math Olympiad#Solved problems|BMO 3]] variant, reducing the holdout count to 66.
 
On 30 May 2026, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510322250769760376 Andrew Ducharme showed] {{TM|1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB}} nonhalting via FAR. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510867717194911874 mxdys verified the FAR solution in Rocq on 1 June].


Over the course of 5 months, @mxdys added 8 machines to Rocq<sup>[https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355799763437752521 1][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355828077023854752 2][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379521528869421137 3][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 4][https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 5]</sup>, lowering the certified holdout count to 75. There are 11 informal arguments, lowering the informal holdout count to 64.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 8 September 2026], mxdys used the newest Rocq deciders to solve five holdouts, leaving only 60 formal holdouts.


Then, on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1466208979511414885 29 Jan 2026], Andrew Ducharme found a machine nonhalting. This was verified by @mxdys [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1466331107279769736 the same day]. Hence the certified holdout count is 74, and there are still 11 informal arguments, with the informal holdout count being 63.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 9 October 2026] prurq showed that {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}} halts in ~10<sup>198</sup> steps, using a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1560264094760575088 Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator] , lowering the formal holdouts count to 59.


Later, on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471227102844944510 11 Feb 2026], Andrew Ducharme found another machine nonhalting, again verified by @mxdys [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471228798505582602 the same day]. @mxdys also [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471229409829847111 announced another TM as a translated cycler], thus reducing the holdout count to 72, with 61 informal holdouts.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1567052029430595584 3 November 2026], mxdys confirmed in Rocq the proofs in Lean of 22 TMs solved with AI assistance (GPT6 and Aristotle), releasing a formal list of 37 holdouts.


On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481197573611061311 11 March 2026], Peacemaker II solved a permutation of one of the TMs Andrew solved by tweaking some of the decider parameters. This result was verified by @mxdys [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481326301209165877 the same day,] reducing the holdout count to 71, with 60 informal holdouts.
An often up-to-date and annotated spreadsheet of holdouts, based on the June 2024 list of 217 holdouts, is available [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qiZ3PJb_q4j9kddm0zZMionJhYCI_uEHr1bSmsBOlZs/edit?usp=drivesdk here]


== Holdouts ==
== Holdouts ==
This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress as of 01 April 2026. There are 69 Rocq-holdouts, or 60 when considering informal proofs.
This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress as of 3 November 2026. All TMs with known informal arguments for halting or non-halting before that date, were formally decided, leading to the latest 37 formal holdouts list.


=== Cryptids ===
=== Cryptids ===
Line 130: Line 253:
=== Unsolved ===
=== Unsolved ===


* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436149296004071615 Notes by mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via [[Longitudinal Analysis|long. analysis]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436149296004071615 Notes by mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RB---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RB---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB0LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB---3RA2LA2RB_2LB3LA4LB4RA0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1.25e13 steps] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1559400536690794496 Analysis by legionmammal978: expected to halt in exp(exp(O(n))) steps.] .
* {{TM|1RB---3RA2LA2RB_2LB3LA4LB4RA0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1.25e13]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LA2LA3RA_1LB2RA4RB0LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471178503235043493 Does not halt in 2e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LA2LA3RA_1LB2RA4RB0LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471178503235043493 Does not halt in 2e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB2RA4LA1RB4RB_1LB2LA3RA---0LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 5e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB2RA4LA1RB4RB_1LB2LA3RA---0LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 5e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB0LA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---4LB0LA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2RB3LA4LA1LA_2LB3RA---4RA1RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2RB3LA4LA1LA_2LB3RA---4RA1RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB4RB4RA1LA3LA_1LB2LA3RB2RB---|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2RA_2LA4RA3LB1RA---|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB3RB---4RA2RA_2LA2RA3LB4LB1LB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---3LB4RB0LA_2LB3LA3RB4RA0RA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---3LB4RB0LA_2LB3LA3RB4RA0RA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LA3LB_1LA3LB1RA4RA---|undecided}}. Shift overflow mixed-digits counter - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1440877223744770259/1440877223744770259 Analysis by hipparcos]
* {{TM|1RB3RB---4RA2RA_2LA2RA3LB4LB1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1492021157073916025/1492021157073916025 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2RA_2LA4RA3LB1RA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1491878887267762363/1491878887267762363 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB4RB4RA1LA3LA_1LB2LA3RB2RB---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1489389585761828924/1489389585761828924 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB1RA_1LA3RA1RA---0LA|undecided}}. Shift overflow mixed-digits counter - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1436181033992327333/1436181033992327333 Analysis by hipparcos] + [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436151075450130443 mxdys's notes]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB1RA_1LA3RA1RA---0LA|undecided}}. Shift overflow mixed-digits counter - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1436181033992327333/1436181033992327333 Analysis by hipparcos] + [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436151075450130443 mxdys's notes]
* {{TM|1RB3LB---4LA1RB_2LA4LA4LB3RB1RA|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1375584513777995957 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB3LB---4LA1RB_2LA4LA4LB3RB1RA|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1375584513777995957 Analysis by @mxdys]
Line 150: Line 269:
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA1RA1RA_2LB2RA---4RB1LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA1RA1RA_2LB2RA---4RB1LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid
* {{TM|1RB---0RB0LA2RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1354037062830919690/1354037062830919690 Shift overflow counter]
* {{TM|1RB---0RB0LA2RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1354037062830919690/1354037062830919690 Shift overflow counter]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329808777754706046 30% chance of beating current champion]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329808777754706046 Probviously halting potential cryptid. Estimated 25 to 50% chance of beating current champion]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395820706050080869/1395820706050080869 Block analysis by @dyuan by "impurity score"]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB1RA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1378248683161653289 Analysis by Andrew Ducharme and @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB1RA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1378248683161653289 Analysis by Andrew Ducharme and @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB---4RB2RB4LA_2LB3LA3LB0RA0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353983911222312970 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
* {{TM|1RB---4RB2RB4LA_2LB3LA3LB0RA0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353983911222312970 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
Line 159: Line 277:
* {{TM|1RB3LA3LB0RB0LA_2LA4RB1LB1RA---|undecided}}. Permutation of "Spaghetti TM", [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1344221797020602398 analysis by nerdyjoe]
* {{TM|1RB3LA3LB0RB0LA_2LA4RB1LB1RA---|undecided}}. Permutation of "Spaghetti TM", [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1344221797020602398 analysis by nerdyjoe]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---3LB1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1355112650690003028 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---3LB1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1355112650690003028 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
* {{TM|1RB3LA3LA0RB2LB_2LA4LA4RA2RA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1376383949575557161 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2LB3LA0RA1LB_2LA4RA3RB3LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1344221797020602398/1344221797020602398 Analysis by @nerdyjoe]
* {{TM|1RB2LB3LA0RA1LB_2LA4RA3RB3LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1344221797020602398/1344221797020602398 Analysis by @nerdyjoe]
* {{TM|1RB3LB0RB---2LB_2LA3RA4RB2RB0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1376577295938097253 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB3LB4LA0LB---_2LA0LA1RB0RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395872756268269668/1395872756268269668 Analysis by Peacemaker II]
* {{TM|1RB3LB4LA0LB---_2LA0LA1RB0RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395872756268269668/1395872756268269668 Analysis by Peacemaker II]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB2RA---_2LA2RB1LA4LB0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1397318518961082398 Analysis by Legion and @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB2RA---_2LA2RB1LA4LB0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1397318518961082398 Analysis by Legion and @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB---4LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329629220795715674 Analysis by @racheline]
* {{TM|1RB4LA1RA1RB1LA_2LB3LA---4RA2RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1359561443929886760 Basic long. analysis by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB4LA1RA1RB1LA_2LB3LA---4RA2RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1359561443929886760 Basic long. analysis by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3RA3RB4LA1LA_1LB2LA1LA---1RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1349602897024782358 Long. analysis by @dyuan suggests chaotic, potentially halt]
* {{TM|1RB3RA3RB4LA1LA_1LB2LA1LA---1RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1349602897024782358 Long. analysis by @dyuan suggests chaotic, potentially halt]. Did not halt in ~10^17.50888 steps of simulation by Andrew Ducharme.
* {{TM|1RB2LA4LA1RA1LA_2LB3RB4RB---2RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1255570421437169805 Long. analysis rules by @Legion, ran to cell 155 without halting]
* {{TM|1RB2LA4LA1RA1LA_2LB3RB4RB---2RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1255570421437169805 Long. analysis rules by @Legion, ran to cell 155 without halting]
* {{TM|1RB2RB4LA2RA1LA_2LA4RA3LA---3RA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353987502062702622 Probviously nonhalting]
* {{TM|1RB2RB4LA2RA1LA_2LA4RA3LA---3RA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353987502062702622 Probviously nonhalting]
Line 173: Line 288:
* {{TM|1RB2LA1LA4RA2LA_0LA3RB3LB2RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
* {{TM|1RB2LA1LA4RA2LA_0LA3RB3LB2RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LA4RA1LA_0LA3LB3RB1RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LA4RA1LA_0LA3LB3RB1RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LB4LB---_0LA4LB3RA4LA0RB|undecided}}. Fractal?
=== Solved with moderate rigor ===
14 grandchildren of {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB_1LA3RA1RA---|undecided}}
''None'' 


* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4RB0LB|undecided}}.
=== Formally proven ===
The 22 following machines have respectively 2 halting and 20 non-halting proofs formalized in Lean by [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1552990521650319453 @prurq], using AI agents Aristotle (solved 4 of them, mentioned in the list) and GPT6 (solved 18 of them, with information processing and proof formalization using Aristotle). Their proofs have been confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1567052029430595584 3 November 2026]:
*{{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 5.6 x 10<sup>53</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1555690509245087827 (prurq)].


and the family 1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB---. See [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579 this thread] for more details.
* {{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 7.3 x 10<sup>28</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1553433274762919997 (prurq)]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1498450794582900878 Analysis by @LegionMammal978]


* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2RB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~9*10^{1167}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB3LA3LA0RB2LB_2LA4LA4RA2RA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1376383949575557161 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~1.3*10^{1094}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB3LB0RB---2LB_2LA3RA4RB2RB0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1376577295938097253 Analysis by @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1RB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~9.8*10^{1226}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LA3LB_1LA3LB1RA4RA---|undecided}}. Shift overflow mixed-digits counter - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1440877223744770259/1440877223744770259 Analysis by hipparcos]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~3*10^{1140}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* 14 grandchildren of {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB_1LA3RA1RA---|undecided}}
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~2.6*10^{889}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4RB0LB|undecided}}.  and the family 1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB---. See [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579 this thread] for more details.
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2RB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~9*10^{1167}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB3RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~1.3*10^{1094}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1RB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~9.8*10^{1226}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2LA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~3*10^{1140}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Simulated for <math>~2.6*10^{889}</math> steps by @hipparcos, [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1336734852308799579/1352407027804143726 hasn't halted yet]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1LA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB3RA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0LA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2RA|undecided}}.
 
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB2LA|undecided}}.
=== Solved with moderate rigor ===
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB1LA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0RA|undecided}}.
** {{TM|1RB2LA0RB1LB---_1LA3RA1RA4LB0LA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB---4LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA1LB|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329629220795715674 Analysis by @racheline]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB0LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA---|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1e13 steps.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1489363702560849920/1489363702560849920 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LB4LB---_0LA4LB3RA4LA0RB|undecided}}. Fractal?


* {{TM|1RB1RB3LA4LA2RA_2LB3RA---3RA4RB|undecided}}. [[Beaver Math Olympiad#3. 1RB0RB3LA4LA2RA 2LB3RA---3RA4RB (bbch) and 1RB1RB3LA4LA2RA 2LB3RA---3RA4RB (bbch)|BMO problem 3]] by @dyuan
The 24 following machines were proven before the last 3 November 2026 release:
* {{TM|1RB0RB3LA4LA2RA_2LB3RA---3RA4RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 by @dyuan
*{{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}. Halts in ~ 10<sup>198</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 (prurq)], using a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1560264094760575088 Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395820706050080869/1395820706050080869 Block analysis by @dyuan by "impurity score"]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]
*{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1492999358482874448 simulated until halt by prurq using Quick_Sim]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA2RB1LA_2LA4RB---3RA3LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA2RB1LA_2LA4RB---3RA3LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1491830661512958185 simulated until halt by prurq using Quick_Sim]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329663999700111471 Nonhalting argument by @racheline]
* {{TM|1RB3RA2LB1LB1RB_2LA2RA4LA1LA---|undecided}}. [[Dekaheptoid]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1267650177389432913 Unverified nonhalting proof by @dyuan]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3RA2LB1LB1RB_2LA2RA4LA1LA---|undecided}}. [[Dekaheptoid]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1267650177389432913 Unverified nonhalting proof by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB---2RB_2LA1RA4LB2LA2RA|undecided}}. [[Dekaheptoid]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1267650177389432913 Unverified nonhalting proof by @dyuan]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB---2RB_2LA1RA4LB2LA2RA|undecided}}. [[Dekaheptoid]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1267650177389432913 Unverified nonhalting proof by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB0RA3LA4LA2RA_2LB3LA---4RA3RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 variant - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1415337575543214132 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan]
 
=== Formally proven ===


* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA0RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355828077023854752 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355714495326060706 Longitudinal analysis by Legion implies nonhalting]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA0RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355828077023854752 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1355714495326060706 Longitudinal analysis by Legion implies nonhalting]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB|halt}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1373347187836194898 Halting argument by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB|halt}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. s ~ 6.9 x 10<sup>933</sup>, halter ranked 3<sup>rd</sup>. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1373347187836194898 Halting argument by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA---|halt}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. Current champion
* {{TM|1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA---|halt}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1379877629288644722 Rocq-decided by @mxdys]. Current champion s ~ 10^^4.81
* {{TM|1RB3RA4LB2RA2RB_2LA---3LA0LB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3RA4LB2RA2RB_2LA---3LA0LB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3RB---0RA2RB_2LA4RA3LB1LB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3RB---0RA2RB_2LA4RA3LB1LB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1411488532500971631 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
Line 221: Line 340:
* {{TM|1RB3LA1RA4LA2RA_2LA---1LA0RA3RB|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1378560417235734558 More analysis by mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1472647706835943596 High-level behaviour by Peacemaker II.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481197573611061311 Non-halting found by Peacemaker II.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481326301209165877 Confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1RA4LA2RA_2LA---1LA0RA3RB|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1378560417235734558 More analysis by mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1472647706835943596 High-level behaviour by Peacemaker II.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481197573611061311 Non-halting found by Peacemaker II.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1481326301209165877 Confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA2RA_2LB2RA---0RA0RB|undecided}}. - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436151969986379868 Notes by @mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471229409829847111 Translated cycler via @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA2RA_2LB2RA---0RA0RB|undecided}}. - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436151969986379868 Notes by @mxdys]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1471229409829847111 Translated cycler via @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB4LA1LB2LA0RB_2LB3RB4LA---1RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1290449717536489622 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1483043448855461989 Confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys].  
* {{TM|1RB4LA1LB2LA0RB_2LB3RB4LA---1RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1290449717536489622 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1483043448855461989 Confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys].
* {{TM|1RB1RB3LA4LA2RA_2LB3RA---3RA4RB|undecided}}. [[Beaver Math Olympiad#3. 1RB0RB3LA4LA2RA 2LB3RA---3RA4RB (bbch) and 1RB1RB3LA4LA2RA 2LB3RA---3RA4RB (bbch)|BMO problem 3]] by @dyuan. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488743526882738276 Confirmed in Lean by @mammillaria] using [https://aristotle.harmonic.fun/ Aristotle AI], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488898494386274374 translated to Rocq by @mxdys] using other LLM.
* {{TM|1RB0RB3LA4LA2RA_2LB3RA---3RA4RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 by @dyuan. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488743526882738276 Confirmed in Lean by @mammillaria] using [https://aristotle.harmonic.fun/ Aristotle AI], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1488898494386274374 translated to Rocq by @mxdys] using other LLM.
* {{TM|1RB0RA3LA4LA2RA_2LB3LA---4RA3RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 variant - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1415337575543214132 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1489095097373954199 translated to Rocq by @mxdys] using an LLM.
* {{TM|1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329663999700111471 Nonhalting argument by @racheline]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510322250769760376 FAR solution by Andrew Ducharme], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510867717194911874 Rocq by mxdys.]
 
== References ==


[[Category:BB Domains]][[Category:BB(2,5)]]
[[Category:BB Domains]][[Category:BB(2,5)]]

Latest revision as of 12:55, 3 November 2026

The 2-state, 5-symbol Busy Beaver problem, BB(2,5), is unsolved. With the discovery of the Cryptid machine Hydra in April 2024, we now know that we must solve a Collatz-like problem in order to solve BB(2,5) and thus BB(2,5) is Hard.

The current BB(2,5) champion 1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) was discovered by Daniel Yuan in June 2024, proving the lower bounds:

S(2,5)>Σ(2,5)>1010103314360>10↑↑4

Cryptids

Known Cryptids:

Potential Cryptids:

Top Halters

The 20 longest running known halting BB(2,5) TMs are:

Standard format (approximate) runtime Discoverer
1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) >1010103314360≈10↑↑4.8142742 Daniel Yuan
1RB2LB4LB3LA1RZ_1LA3RA3LB0LB0RA (bbch) >1038033 Pavel Kropitz
1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB (bbch) >6.9×10933 Daniel Yuan [1]
1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >1.9×10704 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ (bbch) >1.6×10211 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >1.6×10211 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB--- (bbch) ~ 10198 prurq
1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ (bbch) >5.2×1061 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA--- (bbch) >5.6×1053 prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA (bbch) >7.3×1028 prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >7×1021 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA (bbch) >6.0×1021 prurq and LegionMammal978
1RB3LA4LA2RB1LA_2LA4RB---3RA3LA (bbch) >1.6×1020 prurq and LegionMammal978
1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA (bbch) > 1020 (more accurate runtime yet to be calculated) LegionMammal978
1RB1RZ4LA4LB2RA_2LB2RB3RB2RA0RB (bbch) >9×1016 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB3LA1LA0LB1RA_2LA4LB4LA1RA1RZ (bbch) >3.77×1016 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2RA1LA3LA2RA_2LA3RB4LA1LB1RZ (bbch) >9×1015 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LB4RB2RB---_1LA3RA4RA3LB1LB (bbch) 6.64187×1015 mxdys
1RB2RB4LB2LB---_2LA0LA3RB0LA2RA (bbch) 3.1317×1015 mxdys
1RB0RA3LB1LB---_2LA3RB4RB3RA0LA (bbch) 2.7527×1015 mxdys

History

Timeline of bounds established for Σ(2,5) and S(2,5)[1]
Month of discovery Machine S(2,5) Σ(2,5) Discoverer Notes
February 2005 4RB2LA4LA4RA3LA_1LA4LA4RA3RB3LH (bbch) ≥ 16,268,767 ≥ 3,685 Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.[2] These bounds were published simultaneously.
4LB1RH2RA0LB3LB_2RA3LB3RB2LB1LB (bbch) ≥ 15,754,273 ≥ 4,099
April 2005 1RB4LA1LA2LA1RA_3LA1RZ1RA2RA4RB (bbch) ≥ 148,304,214 ≥ 11,120
August 2005 1RB3LA1LA1RA3RA_2LB3LA3RA4RB1RZ (bbch) ≥ 8,619,024,596 ≥ 90,604 Lafitte, G., Papazian, C.[2]
September 2005 1RB2RB3RB4LA3RA_0LA4RB1RZ0RB1LB (bbch) ≥ 7,543,673,517 ≥ 97,104
October 2005 1RB3RB3RB1LA3LB_2LA3RA4LB2RA1RZ (bbch) ≥ 233,431,192,481 ≥ 458,357
1RB3LB1RZ1LA1LA_2LA3RB4LB4LB3RA (bbch) ≥ 912,594,733,606 ≥ 1,957,771
December 2005 1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ (bbch) ≥ 924,180,005,181 ≥ 1,137,477
May 2006 1RB3RA4LB2RA3LA_2LA2LZ4RB4RB2LB (bbch) ≥ 3,793,261,759,791 ≥ 2,576,467
June 2006 1RB3LB4LB4LA2RA_2LA4LZ3RB4RA3RB (bbch) ≥ 14,103,258,269,249 ≥ 4,848,239
July 2006 1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB (bbch) ≥ 26,375,397,569,930 ≥ 143
August 2006 1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) ≥ 7,069,449,877,176,007,352,687 ≥ 172,312,766,455 Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.[2]
October 2007 1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ (bbch) > 5.28 × 1061 > 9.38 × 1030
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ (bbch) > 1.67 × 10211 > 5.28 × 10105 Another functionally equivalent machine which showed the same bounds was published simultaneously.
November 2007 1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) > 1.90 × 10704 > 1.78 × 10352
July 2023 1RB2LB4LB3LA1RZ_1LA3RA3LB0LB0RA (bbch) > 6.5 × 1038,033 > 7.3 × 1019,016 Kropitz, P.
June 2024 1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) > 1010103,314,360 Yuan, D.

Bounds highlighted in red indicate those which did not improve upon the best known at the time.

Certified progress

In April 2024, Shawn Ligocki publicly released a list of 23,411 undecided BB(2,5) machines. Justin Blanchard then made substantial progress over the course of the next month, reducing the list to 499 holdouts by late May 2024. In June 2024, @mxdys cut down the list to 273 using halting and inductive deciders, and again to 217 using CTL. In February 2025, @mxdys ran a decider pipeline in Rocq that resulted in only 173 holdouts. Since then, additional machines have been proven in Rocq using both deciders and individual proofs.

On 29 Mar 2025, @mxdys published a list of 83 holdouts that withstood state-of-the-art Rocq deciders. Over the course of 5 months, @mxdys added 8 machines to Rocq[1][2][3][4][5], lowering the certified holdout count to 75.

Using existing C++ deciders, Andrew Ducharme found two machines non-halting on 29 Jan 2026 and 11 Feb 2026. On 11 March 2026, Peacemaker II solved a permutation of one of the TMs Andrew solved by tweaking some of the decider parameters. @mxdys verified each result the days they were announced. Also on 11 Feb 2026, @mxdys proved in Rocq another TM as a translated cycler. This combined progress reduced the formal holdout count to 71.

On 16 March 2026, mxdys formalised a proof from October 2024 and a proof from October 2025, thus reducing the holdout count to 69.[6][7]

On 1 April 2026, Discord user mammillaria shared a Lean formalisation of the BMO 3 problem and its solution, which he created using Aristotle AI. Then mxdys formalised the result in Rocq using LLMs, then extended it the next day to solve a BMO 3 variant, reducing the holdout count to 66.

On 30 May 2026, Andrew Ducharme showed 1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB (bbch) nonhalting via FAR. mxdys verified the FAR solution in Rocq on 1 June.

On 8 September 2026, mxdys used the newest Rocq deciders to solve five holdouts, leaving only 60 formal holdouts.

On 9 October 2026 prurq showed that 1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB--- (bbch) halts in ~10198 steps, using a Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator , lowering the formal holdouts count to 59.

On 3 November 2026, mxdys confirmed in Rocq the proofs in Lean of 22 TMs solved with AI assistance (GPT6 and Aristotle), releasing a formal list of 37 holdouts.

An often up-to-date and annotated spreadsheet of holdouts, based on the June 2024 list of 217 holdouts, is available here

Holdouts

This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress as of 3 November 2026. All TMs with known informal arguments for halting or non-halting before that date, were formally decided, leading to the latest 37 formal holdouts list.

Cryptids

Unsolved

Solved with moderate rigor

None

Formally proven

The 22 following machines have respectively 2 halting and 20 non-halting proofs formalized in Lean by @prurq, using AI agents Aristotle (solved 4 of them, mentioned in the list) and GPT6 (solved 18 of them, with information processing and proof formalization using Aristotle). Their proofs have been confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys on 3 November 2026:

  • 1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA--- (bbch). Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 5.6 x 1053 steps (prurq).

The 24 following machines were proven before the last 3 November 2026 release:

References