Lucy's Moonlight: Difference between revisions

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*<math display="inline">M_g(n)=\min\{k\in\mathbb{N}:g^{k}(n)\equiv0\ (\operatorname{mod}3)\}</math> (the amount of times <math>g(n)</math> must be applied to reach a multiple of 3)
*<math display="inline">M_g(n)=\min\{k\in\mathbb{N}:g^{k}(n)\equiv0\ (\operatorname{mod}3)\}</math> (the amount of times <math>g(n)</math> must be applied to reach a multiple of 3)
*<math>q(n)=f^{M_f(n)}(8)</math>
*<math>q(n)=f^{M_f(n)}(8)</math>
The sequence the values for which as long as Lucy's Moonlight does not halt, we get configurations of the form <math>C(k,8)</math>, denoted <math>c_n</math>, can be written as:
The sequence of values for which as long as Lucy's Moonlight does not halt, we get configurations of the form <math>C(k,8)</math>, denoted <math>c_n</math>, can be written as:
<math display="block">\textstyle c_0=0,\qquad c_{n+1}=(c_n-S(M_f(c_n)-1))\times\frac{2q(c_n)+8}{3}+(1-c_n+S(M_f(c_n)-1))\times\frac{2}{3}g^{M_g(q(c_n))}(q(c_n)).</math>
<math display="block">\textstyle c_0=0,\qquad c_{n+1}=(c_n-S(M_f(c_n)-1))\times\frac{2q(c_n)+8}{3}+(1-c_n+S(M_f(c_n)-1))\times\frac{2}{3}g^{M_g(q(c_n))}(q(c_n)).</math>
Lucy's Moonlight halts if and only if there exists a <math>c\in c_n</math> such that <math>c-S(M_f(c)-1)=1</math> and <math>q(c_n)\equiv1\ (\operatorname{mod}3)</math>.
Lucy's Moonlight halts if and only if there exists a <math>c\in c_n</math> such that <math>c-S(M_f(c)-1)=1</math> and <math>q(c_n)\equiv1\ (\operatorname{mod}3)</math>.
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#If <math>n=1</math>, then <math>n</math> will decrease to 0, the game is won, or a new round begins, each with probability <math display="inline>\frac{1}{3}</math>.
#If <math>n=1</math>, then <math>n</math> will decrease to 0, the game is won, or a new round begins, each with probability <math display="inline>\frac{1}{3}</math>.
#If <math>n=0</math>, then a new round begins.
#If <math>n=0</math>, then a new round begins.
If <math>P(n)</math> is the probability of winning a round with starting value <math>n</math>, then <math display="inline">P(n)=\frac{1}{3}P(n-1)+\frac{2}{3}P(n-2)</math> if <math>n\ge2</math>. This is a recurrence relation whose general solution is <math display="inline">P(n)=c_0+c_1{\Big({-\frac{2}{3}}\Big)}^n</math>. The boundary conditions <math>P(0)=0</math> and <math display="inline">P(1)=\frac{1}{3}</math> enable us to obtain <math display="inline">c_0=\frac{1}{5}</math> and <math display="inline">c_1=-\frac{1}{5}</math>. Since <math display="inline">\left\vert {-\frac{2}{3}}\right\vert <1</math>, <math display="inline">P(n)\approx\frac{1}{5}</math> for large <math>n</math>, so the probability of winning the game in <math>r</math> rounds is approximately <math display="inline">1-\Big(\frac{4}{5}\Big)^r</math>. Because we have an unlimited number of rounds available, the game will almost surely be won eventually, so Lucy's Moonlight will almost surely halt.
If <math>P(n)</math> is the probability of winning a round with starting value <math>n</math>, then <math display="inline">P(n)=\frac{1}{3}P(n-1)+\frac{2}{3}P(n-2)</math> if <math>n\ge2</math>. This is a recurrence relation whose general solution is <math display="inline">P(n)=c_0+c_1{\Big({-\frac{2}{3}}\Big)}^n</math>. The boundary conditions <math>P(0)=0</math> and <math display="inline">P(1)=\frac{1}{3}</math> enable us to obtain <math display="inline">c_0=\frac{1}{5}</math> and <math display="inline">c_1=-\frac{1}{5}</math>. Since <math display="inline">\left\vert {-\frac{2}{3}}\right\vert <1</math>, <math display="inline">P(n)\approx\frac{1}{5}</math> for large <math>n</math>, so the probability of winning the game in <math>r</math> rounds is approximately <math display="inline">1-\Big(\frac{4}{5}\Big)^r</math>. Because there is an unlimited number of rounds available, the game will almost surely be won eventually, so Lucy's Moonlight will almost surely halt.
[[Category:Cryptids]]
[[Category:Cryptids]]

Revision as of 00:22, 13 April 2025

1RB0RD_0RC1RE_1RD0LA_1LE1LC_1RF0LD_---0RA (bbch)

Lucy's Moonlight is a BB(6) Cryptid. This Turing machine was first mentioned on Discord by Racheline on 1 Mar 2025, who afterward found a set of high-level rules describing it. Shawn Ligocki later discovered and shared a more refined set of rules, displayed below.

0 1
A 1RB 0RD
B 0RC 1RE
C 1RD 0LA
D 1LE 1LC
E 1RF 0LD
F --- 0RA
The transition table of Lucy's Moonlight.

Analysis

Let C(a,b):=01011a1b10C>0. Then, C(a+1,3b)12b2+53b+28C(a,8b+6),C(a+2,3b+1)12b2+77b+103C(a,8b+16),C(a+2,3b+2)12b2+101b+184C(a,8b+22),C(0,3b)12b2+29b+52C(2b,8),C(0,3b+1)12b2+53b+30C(0,8b+5),C(1,3b+1)12b2+53b+58010112b+41F>0,C(0,3b+2)12b2+53b+28C(0,8b+5),C(1,3b+2)12b2+77b+160C(2b+4,8).

Proof

Consider the partial configuration P(m,n):=1m10nC>0, which after three steps is 1m10n<D010. To advance, this shift rule is required: 10s<D2s<D01s This means we have 1m<D01n+10 after 2n steps, with 1m30D>01n+20 after three further steps. From here, we can use the fact that 0D>01s becomes 100D>01s1 in four steps if s1 to get this rule: 0D>01s4s10s0D> Using this rule produces 1m310n+20D>0 in 4n+8 steps. With five more steps, we get 1m310n+4C>0, which is also P(m3,n+4). To summarize: P(m,n)6n+19P(m3,n+4) if m3. With C(a,b) we have P(b,1) and are able to apply this rule b3 times, with three possible scenarios:

  1. If b0 (mod3), then in i=0b/31(6(1+4i)+19)=43b2+133b steps we arrive at P(0,1+4b3). The matching complete configuration is 01011a101+4b/3C>0. In 83b+5 steps we have 01011a<D012+4b/30, followed by 01011a111B>013+4b/30 after three steps. We note that if s2, then B>01s becomes 11B>01s1 in 8 steps, giving this transition rule:B>01s8s412s10C> if s1.In this instance, the result is 01011a117+8b/30C>0, equal to C(a1,83b+6), after 323b+20 steps. This gives a total of 43b2+533b+28 steps.
  2. We can rewrite C(a,b) as 01011a1101b+210C>0 if a1. Given this, we have P(b+2,1), and if b1 (mod3), then in 43b2+293b+14 steps we arrive at 01011a110(4b+14)/3C>0, which in 8b+373 steps becomes 01011a1<D01(4b+17)/30, and then 01011a211B>01(4b+20)/30 after three more steps. We end with 32b+1483 steps to get 01011a21(8b+43)/30C>0, equal to C(a2,8b+403). This gives a total of 43b2+23b+2363 steps.
  3. If b2 (mod3) and we reuse the technique of rewriting C(a,b), then in 43b2+7b+173 steps we arrive at 01011a110110(4b+7)/3C>0, which in 8b+233 steps becomes 01011a1101<D01(4b+10)/30, and then in five steps, 01011a10D>01(4b+13)/30. Adding 16b+523 steps gives us 01011a110(4b+13)/30D>0, and another eight gives us 01011a110(4b+19)/3<D010. After 8b+383 steps, the configuration is 01011a1<D01(4b+22)/30 and after three more, 01011a211B>01(4b+25)/30. We conclude with 01011a21(8b+53)/30C>0, equal to C(a2,8b+503), after 32b+1883 steps, for a total of 43b2+853b+122 steps.

The behaviour of Lucy's Moonlight changes at the boundary conditions: a=0 or a=1. These changes are addressed below:

  1. If a=0 and b0 (mod3), then starting from 0<D012+4b/30, we take three steps to get 010A>012+4b/30. It is here that another shift rule must come into use:A>012s4s1110sA>Upon using this shift rule, we get 01011101+2b/3A>0 in 83b+4 steps. This configuration is the same as 010111+2b/310A>0. With 40 more steps, we end at 010112b/3190C>0, equal to C(23b,8), for a total of 43b2+293b+52 steps.
  2. If a=0 and b1 (mod3), then in 43b2+53b3 steps we arrive at 0110(4b1)/3C>0. With 8b+73 more steps we now have 01<D01(4b+2)/30. Given five steps, the result is 01B>01(4b+5)/30, which turns into 01(8b+10)/30C>0, equal to C(0,8b+73) in 32b+283 steps for a total of 43b2+15b+413 steps.
  3. If a=1 and b1 (mod3), then starting from 0<D01(4b+17)/30, we get 010A>01(4b+17)/30 in three steps. Since 01(4b+17)/3 and 01(4b+14)/301 are the same, what follows is 01011(2b+7)/310A>010 in 8b+283 steps before finally reaching 01011(2b+10)/31F>0, and therefore the undefined F0 transition, in three steps. This gives a total of 43b2+15b+1253 steps.
  4. If a=0 and b2 (mod3), then in 43b2b103 steps we arrive at 01110(4x5)/3C>0. It takes a further 8b13 steps to reach 011<D01(4b2)/30, and adding three more gives us 01B>01(4b+1)/30. With 32b43 more steps we end up with 01(8b+2)/30C>0, equal to C(0,8b13). This gives a total of 43b2+373b2 steps.
  5. If a=1 and b2 (mod3), then starting from 0<D01(4b+22)/30, we take three steps to get 010A>01(4b+22)/30, and taking 8b+443 more steps produces 01011(2b+11)/310A>0. After 40 steps, we reach 01011(2b+8)/3190C>0, which is C(2b+83,8), for a total of 43b2+613b+114 steps.

The information above can be summarized as C(a,b){C(a1,83b+6)if a1 and b0(mod3),C(a2,8b+403)if a2 and b1(mod3),C(a2,8b+503)if a2 and b2(mod3),C(23b,8)if a=0 and b0(mod3),C(0,8b+73)if a=0 and b1(mod3),01011(2b+10)/31F>0if a=1 and b1(mod3),C(0,8b13)if a=0 and b2(mod3),C(2b+83,8)if a=1 and b2(mod3). Substituting b=3b+k, where k is the remainder of b modulo 3, yields the final result.

We can define these functions:

  • f(n)=10n+618n34n+13 (the movement of b according to the first three rules)
  • S(n)=i=0n(1+fi(8)+13fi(8)/32) (which imitates a decreasing, with fi(n) representing function iteration)
  • Mf(n)=min{k:(fk(8)0 (mod3)S(k1)=n)(fk(8)≢0 (mod3)S(k1)n1)} (the number of iterations of f(n) needed to reach a boundary condition)
  • g(n)=8n13+5 (representing rules 5 and 7)
  • Mg(n)=min{k:gk(n)0 (mod3)} (the amount of times g(n) must be applied to reach a multiple of 3)
  • q(n)=fMf(n)(8)

The sequence of values for which as long as Lucy's Moonlight does not halt, we get configurations of the form C(k,8), denoted cn, can be written as: c0=0,cn+1=(cnS(Mf(cn)1))×2q(cn)+83+(1cn+S(Mf(cn)1))×23gMg(q(cn))(q(cn)). Lucy's Moonlight halts if and only if there exists a ccn such that cS(Mf(c)1)=1 and q(cn)1 (mod3).

Trajectory

Starting with C(0,0) after two steps, Lucy's Moonlight repeatedly applies the Collatz-like rules. The first few steps are shown below: C(0,0)52C(0,8)182C(0,21)843C(14,8)434C(12,38)3124C(10,118)21358C(8,328) From C(0,0), it takes 11 rule steps to get C(11292,8) and 6811 more to get C(c3,8), where c38.282×102901. Because cn grows tetrationally, analysis of fi(n) and gi(n) is critical to understanding the nature of any additional terms of this sequence. Despite this, Lucy's Moonlight can be argued to probviously halt if one considers each instance of C(k,8) as the beginning of an independent round of a luck-based game, detailed below:

  1. A random large number n is generated.
  2. At each time unit, n will decrease by 1 with probability 13 or decrease by 2 with probability 23. This step repeats as long as n2.
  3. If n=1, then n will decrease to 0, the game is won, or a new round begins, each with probability 13.
  4. If n=0, then a new round begins.

If P(n) is the probability of winning a round with starting value n, then P(n)=13P(n1)+23P(n2) if n2. This is a recurrence relation whose general solution is P(n)=c0+c1(23)n. The boundary conditions P(0)=0 and P(1)=13 enable us to obtain c0=15 and c1=15. Since |23|<1, P(n)15 for large n, so the probability of winning the game in r rounds is approximately 1(45)r. Because there is an unlimited number of rounds available, the game will almost surely be won eventually, so Lucy's Moonlight will almost surely halt.