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"'''Probvious'''" (a portmanteau of the words ''probabilistic'' and ''obvious'') is an adjective used to express a high degree of confidence about a mathematical property or statement that is not known to be true. It was introduced by John Conway in an article discussing potentially unprovable statements.<ref>John Conway. "On Unsettleable Arithmetical Problems". 2017. https://doi.org/10.4169/amer.math.monthly.120.03.192</ref> The term has been used by [https://www.bbchallenge.org bbchallenge] contributors to describe the solutions to halting problems for [[Cryptids]] such as [[Bigfoot]] and [[Hydra]].
"'''Probvious'''" (a portmanteau of the words ''probabilistic'' and ''obvious'') is an adjective used to express a high degree of confidence about a mathematical statement that is not known to be true. It was introduced by John Conway in an article discussing possibly unprovable statements.<ref>Conway, J. H. (2013). On Unsettleable Arithmetical Problems. The American Mathematical Monthly, 120(3), 192–198. https://doi.org/10.4169/amer.math.monthly.120.03.192</ref> The term has been used by [https://www.bbchallenge.org bbchallenge] contributors to describe the solutions to halting problems for [[Cryptids]] such as [[Bigfoot]] and [[Hydra]].
==Usage==
==Usage==
[[File:ProbviousExcerpt.png|right|300px|thumb|The excerpt from the article by John Conway where "probvious" is introduced.]]
[[File:ProbviousExcerpt.png|right|300px|thumb|The excerpt from the article by John Conway where "probvious" is introduced.]]
The word appears in Conway's article a few times as a way of forming conjectures about a [[Collatz-like]] function that had already been investigated in the past.<ref>Atkin, A. O. L. "Problem 63-13." <i>SIAM Review</i> 8, no. 2 (1966): 234–36. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2028281</ref><ref>Guy, Richard K. "Don’t Try to Solve These Problems!" <i>The American Mathematical Monthly</i> 90, no. 1 (1983): 35–41. JSTOR, https://doi.org/10.2307/2975688</ref> This function, denoted <math>\mu(n)</math>, is defined as:
The word appears in Conway's article a few times as a way of forming conjectures about a known [[Collatz-like]] function.<ref>Atkin, A. O. L. “Problem 63-13.SIAM Review, vol. 8, no. 2, 1966, pp. 234–36. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2028281</ref><ref>Guy, R. K. (1983). Don’t Try to Solve These Problems! The American Mathematical Monthly, 90(1), 35–41. https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1983.11971148</ref> This function, denoted <math>\mu(n)</math>, is defined as:
<math display="block">\begin{array}{lll}\mu(2n)&=&3n\\ \mu(4n+1)&=&3n+1\\ \mu(4n+3)&=&3n+2\end{array}\Rightarrow\begin{array}{lll}\mu^{-1}(3n)&=&2n\\ \mu^{-1}(3n+1)&=&4n+1\\ \mu^{-1}(3n+2)&=&4n+3\end{array}</math>
<math display="block">\begin{array}{lll}\mu(2n)&=&3n\\ \mu(4n+1)&=&3n+1\\ \mu(4n+3)&=&3n+2\end{array}\Rightarrow\begin{array}{lll}\mu^{-1}(3n)&=&2n\\ \mu^{-1}(3n+1)&=&4n+1\\ \mu^{-1}(3n+2)&=&4n+3\end{array}</math>
Conway first uses "probvious" to describe the idea that the sequences of iterates <math>(\cdots,8,\mu(8),\mu^2(8),\cdots)</math> and <math>(\cdots,14,\mu(14),\mu^2(14),\cdots)</math> diverge to infinity.
Conway first uses "probvious" to describe the idea that the sequences of iterates <math>(\cdots,8,\mu(8),\mu^2(8),\cdots)</math> and <math>(\cdots,14,\mu(14),\mu^2(14),\cdots)</math> diverge to infinity.


Likewise, there exist [[Turing machines]] for which determining whether they halt requires solving a mathematical problem believed to be difficult (oftentimes a [[Collatz-like]] problem) but using probabilistic approximations of their functions suggests a clear solution. For example, Bigfoot and Hydra are probviously nonhalting because they simulate biased pseudo-random walks which (when interpreted as random) leave vanishingly small probabilities of ever halting. Similarly, machines such as [[Lucy's Moonlight]] and [[Mother of Giants]] are probviously halting because they simulate a sequence of pseudo-random coin flips, halting with a fixed probability on each trial.
Likewise, there exist Turing machines for which determining whether they halt requires solving a mathematical problem believed to be difficult, oftentimes a Collatz-like problem, but arguments using probabilistic versions of their behaviour suggest a clear solution. For example, Bigfoot and Hydra are probviously non-halting because they simulate biased random walks that drift towards infinity yet must reach zero for these machines to halt. Alternatively, [[Lucy's Moonlight]] is probviously halting because it simulates a sequence of independent random trials for which it has a fixed probability of halting each time.
 
== References ==
== References ==
<references />
<references />

Revision as of 13:03, 14 April 2025

"Probvious" (a portmanteau of the words probabilistic and obvious) is an adjective used to express a high degree of confidence about a mathematical statement that is not known to be true. It was introduced by John Conway in an article discussing possibly unprovable statements.[1] The term has been used by bbchallenge contributors to describe the solutions to halting problems for Cryptids such as Bigfoot and Hydra.

Usage

The excerpt from the article by John Conway where "probvious" is introduced.

The word appears in Conway's article a few times as a way of forming conjectures about a known Collatz-like function.[2][3] This function, denoted , is defined as:

Conway first uses "probvious" to describe the idea that the sequences of iterates and diverge to infinity.

Likewise, there exist Turing machines for which determining whether they halt requires solving a mathematical problem believed to be difficult, oftentimes a Collatz-like problem, but arguments using probabilistic versions of their behaviour suggest a clear solution. For example, Bigfoot and Hydra are probviously non-halting because they simulate biased random walks that drift towards infinity yet must reach zero for these machines to halt. Alternatively, Lucy's Moonlight is probviously halting because it simulates a sequence of independent random trials for which it has a fixed probability of halting each time.

References

  1. Conway, J. H. (2013). On Unsettleable Arithmetical Problems. The American Mathematical Monthly, 120(3), 192–198. https://doi.org/10.4169/amer.math.monthly.120.03.192
  2. Atkin, A. O. L. “Problem 63-13.” SIAM Review, vol. 8, no. 2, 1966, pp. 234–36. JSTOR, http://www.jstor.org/stable/2028281
  3. Guy, R. K. (1983). Don’t Try to Solve These Problems! The American Mathematical Monthly, 90(1), 35–41. https://doi.org/10.1080/00029890.1983.11971148