BB(2,5): Difference between revisions

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Number of formal and informal holdouts precised in introduction to the Holdouts section.
Yves30. (talk | contribs)
another minor precision (last Rocq confirmations by @mxdys)
 
(28 intermediate revisions by 5 users not shown)
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|<math>>1.6 \times 10^{211}</math>
|<math>>1.6 \times 10^{211}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}
|~ 10<sup>198</sup>
|[https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 prurq]
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|<math>>5.2 \times 10^{61}</math>
|<math>>5.2 \times 10^{61}</math>
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|-
|{{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|halt}}
|<math>>5.6 \times 10^{53}</math>
|prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
|-
|{{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|halt}}
|<math>>7.3 \times 10^{28}</math>
|prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
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|<math>2.7527 \times 10^{15}</math>
|<math>2.7527 \times 10^{15}</math>
|mxdys
|mxdys
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LB2RA4LB1RA_1LA3RA3LA4LA---|halt}}
|<math>1.7828 \times 10^{15}</math>
|mxdys
|-
|{{TM|1RB3LA---4RB0LB_2LA3LB4LA1RB3RA|halt}}
|<math>6.66046 \times 10^{14}</math>
|mxdys
|-
|{{TM|1RB2RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA3RB1RZ4RA1LA|halt}}
|417,310,842,648,366
|Terry and Shawn Ligocki
|}
|}


== History ==
== History ==
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible"
{| class="wikitable mw-collapsible"
! colspan="6" |Timeline of lower bounds established for Σ(2,5) and S(2,5)<ref name=":PMH">Pascal Michel. (last updated 2026). The Busy Beaver Competition: a historical survey. https://bbchallenge.org/~pascal.michel/ha#tm62</ref>
! colspan="6" |Timeline of bounds established for Σ(2,5) and S(2,5)<ref name=":PMH">Pascal Michel. (last updated 2026). The Busy Beaver Competition: a historical survey. https://bbchallenge.org/~pascal.michel/ha#tm62</ref>
|-
|-
!Month of discovery
!Month of discovery
!Machine
!Machine
!S(2,5) lower bound
!S(2,5)
!Σ(2,5) lower bound
!Σ(2,5)
!Discoverer
!Discoverer
!Notes
!Notes
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|{{TM|4RB2LA4LA4RA3LA_1LA4LA4RA3RB3LH|halt}}
|{{TM|4RB2LA4LA4RA3LA_1LA4LA4RA3RB3LH|halt}}
|≥ 16,268,767
|≥ 16,268,767
|(≥ 3,685)
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 3,685
| rowspan="3" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.
| rowspan="3" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.<ref name=":0">https://web.archive.org/web/20160420171959/http://www.drb.insel.de/~heiner/BB/bbsimtab.html</ref>
| rowspan="2" |During this period, the steps champion was different to the ones champion.
| rowspan="2" |These bounds were published simultaneously.
These bounds were published simultaneously.
|-
|-
|{{TM|4LB1RH2RA0LB3LB_2RA3LB3RB2LB1LB|halt}}
|{{TM|4LB1RH2RA0LB3LB_2RA3LB3RB2LB1LB|halt}}
|(≥ 15,754,273)
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 15,754,273
|≥ 4,099
|≥ 4,099
|-
|-
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|≥ 8,619,024,596
|≥ 8,619,024,596
|≥ 90,604
|≥ 90,604
| rowspan="8" |Lafitte, G., Papazian, C.
| rowspan="8" |Lafitte, G., Papazian,&nbsp;C.<ref name=":0" />
|
|
|-
|-
|September 2005
|September&nbsp;2005
|{{TM|1RB2RB3RB4LA3RA_0LA4RB1RZ0RB1LB|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2RB3RB4LA3RA_0LA4RB1RZ0RB1LB|halt}}
|(≥ 7,543,673,517)
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 7,543,673,517
|≥ 97,104
|≥ 97,104
|During this period, the steps champion was different to the ones champion.
|
|-
|-
| rowspan="2" |October 2005
| rowspan="2" |October 2005
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|{{TM|1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ|halt}}
|≥ 924,180,005,181
|≥ 924,180,005,181
|(≥ 1,137,477)
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 1,137,477
|During this period, the steps champion was different to the ones champion.
|
|-
|-
|May 2006
|May 2006
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|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB|halt}}
|≥ 26,375,397,569,930
|≥ 26,375,397,569,930
|(≥ 143)
| style="background: #FFCCCC;" |≥ 143
|During this period, the steps champion was different to the ones champion.
|
|-
|-
|August 2006
|August 2006
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|≥ 7,069,449,877,176,007,352,687
|≥&nbsp;7,069,449,877,176,007,352,687
|≥ 172,312,766,455
|≥&nbsp;172,312,766,455
| rowspan="4" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.
| rowspan="4" |Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.<ref name=":0" />
|
|
|-
|-
| rowspan="2" |October 2007
| rowspan="2" |October 2007
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ|halt}}
|> 5.2 × 10<sup>61</sup>
|> 5.28 × 10<sup>61</sup>
|> 9.3 × 10<sup>30</sup>
|> 9.38 × 10<sup>30</sup>
|
|
|-
|-
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ|halt}}
|> 1.6 × 10<sup>211</sup>
|> 1.67 × 10<sup>211</sup>
|> 5.2 × 10<sup>105</sup>
|> 5.28 × 10<sup>105</sup>
|Another functionally equivalent machine which showed the same bounds was published simultaneously.
|Another functionally equivalent machine which showed the same bounds was published simultaneously.
|-
|-
|November 2007
|November 2007
|{{TM|1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|{{TM|1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ|halt}}
|> 1.9 × 10<sup>704</sup>
|> 1.90 × 10<sup>704</sup>
|> 1.7 × 10<sup>352</sup>
|> 1.78 × 10<sup>352</sup>
|
|
|-
|-
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|Yuan, D.
|Yuan, D.
|
|
|}  
|}
Bounds highlighted in <span style="background: #FFCCCC">red</span> indicate those which did not improve upon the best known at the time.


=== Certified progress ===
=== Certified progress ===
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On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 8 September 2026], mxdys used the newest Rocq deciders to solve five holdouts, leaving only 60 formal holdouts.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 8 September 2026], mxdys used the newest Rocq deciders to solve five holdouts, leaving only 60 formal holdouts.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 9 October 2026] prurq showed that {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}} halts in ~10<sup>198</sup> steps, using a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1560264094760575088 Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator] , lowering the formal holdouts count to 59.
On [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1567052029430595584 3 November 2026], mxdys confirmed in Rocq the proofs in Lean of 22 TMs solved with AI assistance (GPT6 and Aristotle), releasing a formal list of 37 holdouts.


An often up-to-date and annotated spreadsheet of holdouts, based on the June 2024 list of 217 holdouts, is available [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qiZ3PJb_q4j9kddm0zZMionJhYCI_uEHr1bSmsBOlZs/edit?usp=drivesdk here]
An often up-to-date and annotated spreadsheet of holdouts, based on the June 2024 list of 217 holdouts, is available [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qiZ3PJb_q4j9kddm0zZMionJhYCI_uEHr1bSmsBOlZs/edit?usp=drivesdk here]


== Holdouts ==
== Holdouts ==
The number of holdouts as of Oct.1, 2026 is 60 as Rocq-proven, of which 21 have been informally solved, 39 holdouts remain including Cryptids and unsolved TMs. 
This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress as of 3 November 2026. All TMs with known informal arguments for halting or non-halting before that date, were formally decided, leading to the latest 37 formal holdouts list.
 
This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress past 8 September 2026. All TMs with known informal arguments for halting or non-halting before that date, were formally decided.  


=== Cryptids ===
=== Cryptids ===
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* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via [[Longitudinal Analysis|long. analysis]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436149296004071615 Notes by mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RA---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via [[Longitudinal Analysis|long. analysis]] - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1436149296004071615 Notes by mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RB---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA3RB---0RA1LA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis
* {{TM|1RB---3RA2LA2RB_2LB3LA4LB4RA0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1.25e13]
* {{TM|1RB---3RA2LA2RB_2LB3LA4LB4RA0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1.25e13 steps] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1559400536690794496 Analysis by legionmammal978: expected to halt in exp(exp(O(n))) steps.]  .
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LA2LA3RA_1LB2RA4RB0LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471178503235043493 Does not halt in 2e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LA2LA3RA_1LB2RA4RB0LA---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471178503235043493 Does not halt in 2e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB2RA4LA1RB4RB_1LB2LA3RA---0LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 5e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB2RA4LA1RB4RB_1LB2LA3RA---0LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 5e13 steps.]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB0LA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---4LB0LA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2RB3LA4LA1LA_2LB3RA---4RA1RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB2RB3LA4LA1LA_2LB3RA---4RA1RB|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---3LB4RB0LA_2LB3LA3RB4RA0RA|undecided}}.
* {{TM|1RB---3LB4RB0LA_2LB3LA3RB4RA0RA|undecided}}.
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* {{TM|1RB---0RB0LA2RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1354037062830919690/1354037062830919690 Shift overflow counter]
* {{TM|1RB---0RB0LA2RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0LB|undecided}}. Potential Cryptid - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1354037062830919690/1354037062830919690 Shift overflow counter]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329808777754706046 Probviously halting potential cryptid. Estimated 25 to 50% chance of beating current champion]
* {{TM|1RB2RA3LB---2LB_2LA0LA4RB0RB1LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329808777754706046 Probviously halting potential cryptid. Estimated 25 to 50% chance of beating current champion]
* {{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395820706050080869/1395820706050080869 Block analysis by @dyuan by "impurity score"]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB1RA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1378248683161653289 Analysis by Andrew Ducharme and @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB---4LB1RA4RA_2LB2LA3RA4LB0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1378248683161653289 Analysis by Andrew Ducharme and @mxdys]
* {{TM|1RB---4RB2RB4LA_2LB3LA3LB0RA0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353983911222312970 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
* {{TM|1RB---4RB2RB4LA_2LB3LA3LB0RA0RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353983911222312970 Bouncer + chaotic counter]
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* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB2RA---_2LA2RB1LA4LB0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1397318518961082398 Analysis by Legion and @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3RB1LB2RA---_2LA2RB1LA4LB0RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1397318518961082398 Analysis by Legion and @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB4LA1RA1RB1LA_2LB3LA---4RA2RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1359561443929886760 Basic long. analysis by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB4LA1RA1RB1LA_2LB3LA---4RA2RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1359561443929886760 Basic long. analysis by @dyuan]
* {{TM|1RB3RA3RB4LA1LA_1LB2LA1LA---1RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1349602897024782358 Long. analysis by @dyuan suggests chaotic, potentially halt]
* {{TM|1RB3RA3RB4LA1LA_1LB2LA1LA---1RB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1349602897024782358 Long. analysis by @dyuan suggests chaotic, potentially halt]. Did not halt in ~10^17.50888 steps of simulation by Andrew Ducharme.
* {{TM|1RB2LA4LA1RA1LA_2LB3RB4RB---2RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1255570421437169805 Long. analysis rules by @Legion, ran to cell 155 without halting]
* {{TM|1RB2LA4LA1RA1LA_2LB3RB4RB---2RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1255570421437169805 Long. analysis rules by @Legion, ran to cell 155 without halting]
* {{TM|1RB2RB4LA2RA1LA_2LA4RA3LA---3RA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353987502062702622 Probviously nonhalting]
* {{TM|1RB2RB4LA2RA1LA_2LA4RA3LA---3RA|undecided}}. Chaotic via long. analysis. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1353983911222312970/1353987502062702622 Probviously nonhalting]
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* {{TM|1RB2LA3LA4RA1LA_0LA3LB3RB1RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LA4RA1LA_0LA3LB3RB1RB---|undecided}}. 1D CA-like
=== Solved with moderate rigor ===
=== Solved with moderate rigor ===
The 21 following machines have respectively 1 halting and 20 non-halting proofs formalized in Lean by @prurq, using AI agents Aristotle (solved 3 of them, mentioned in the list) and GPT6 (solved 18 of them, with information processing and proof formalization using Aristotle); however their proofs have not been independently verified:  
''None'' 
 
=== Formally proven ===
The 22 following machines have respectively 2 halting and 20 non-halting proofs formalized in Lean by [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1552990521650319453 @prurq], using AI agents Aristotle (solved 4 of them, mentioned in the list) and GPT6 (solved 18 of them, with information processing and proof formalization using Aristotle). Their proofs have been confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys on [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1567052029430595584 3 November 2026]:
*{{TM|1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA---|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 5.6 x 10<sup>53</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1555690509245087827 (prurq)].


* {{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 7.3 x 10<sup>28</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1553433274762919997 (prurq)]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1498450794582900878 Analysis by @LegionMammal978]
* {{TM|1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 7.3 x 10<sup>28</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1553433274762919997 (prurq)]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1498450794582900878 Analysis by @LegionMammal978]
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* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB---4LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA1LB|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329629220795715674 Analysis by @racheline]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB---4LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA1LB|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329629220795715674 Analysis by @racheline]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB0LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA---|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1e13 steps.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1489363702560849920/1489363702560849920 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB2LA0RB4LB0LA_1LA3LA1RA4RA---|undecided}}. Solved using Aristotle. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1471178503235043493/1471206925096980664 Does not halt in 1e13 steps.] [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1489363702560849920/1489363702560849920 Longitudinal Analysis by dyuan.]
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LB4LB---_0LA4LB3RA4LA0RB|undecided}}. Fractal?
* {{TM|1RB2LA3LB4LB---_0LA4LB3RA4LA0RB|undecided}}. Fractal?  
 
=== Formally proven ===


The 24 following machines were proven before the last 3 November 2026 release:
*{{TM|1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB---|undecided}}. Halts in ~ 10<sup>198</sup> steps [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1558226290509742082 (prurq)], using a [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1560264094760575088 Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1395820706050080869/1395820706050080869 Block analysis by @dyuan by "impurity score"]
*{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1492999358482874448 simulated until halt by prurq using Quick_Sim]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
*{{TM|1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1492999358482874448 simulated until halt by prurq using Quick_Sim]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
* {{TM|1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1084047886494470185/1254518334406266964 Longitudinal analysis by @Legion implies halting]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1546880921318326282 Rocq-decided by @mxdys.]
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* {{TM|1RB0RA3LA4LA2RA_2LB3LA---4RA3RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 variant - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1415337575543214132 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1489095097373954199 translated to Rocq by @mxdys] using an LLM.
* {{TM|1RB0RA3LA4LA2RA_2LB3LA---4RA3RB|undecided}}. BMO problem 3 variant - [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1415337575543214132 Nonhalting argument by @dyuan], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1489095097373954199 translated to Rocq by @mxdys] using an LLM.
* {{TM|1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329663999700111471 Nonhalting argument by @racheline]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510322250769760376 FAR solution by Andrew Ducharme], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510867717194911874 Rocq by mxdys.]  
* {{TM|1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB|undecided}}. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1329663999700111471 Nonhalting argument by @racheline]. [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510322250769760376 FAR solution by Andrew Ducharme], [https://discord.com/channels/960643023006490684/1259770421046411285/1510867717194911874 Rocq by mxdys.]  
== References ==


[[Category:BB Domains]][[Category:BB(2,5)]]
[[Category:BB Domains]][[Category:BB(2,5)]]

Latest revision as of 12:55, 3 November 2026

The 2-state, 5-symbol Busy Beaver problem, BB(2,5), is unsolved. With the discovery of the Cryptid machine Hydra in April 2024, we now know that we must solve a Collatz-like problem in order to solve BB(2,5) and thus BB(2,5) is Hard.

The current BB(2,5) champion 1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) was discovered by Daniel Yuan in June 2024, proving the lower bounds:

S(2,5)>Σ(2,5)>1010103314360>10↑↑4

Cryptids

Known Cryptids:

Potential Cryptids:

Top Halters

The 20 longest running known halting BB(2,5) TMs are:

Standard format (approximate) runtime Discoverer
1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) >1010103314360≈10↑↑4.8142742 Daniel Yuan
1RB2LB4LB3LA1RZ_1LA3RA3LB0LB0RA (bbch) >1038033 Pavel Kropitz
1RB2RA3LA4RB---_2LA3RB3RA1LB3LB (bbch) >6.9×10933 Daniel Yuan [1]
1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >1.9×10704 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ (bbch) >1.6×10211 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >1.6×10211 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB--- (bbch) ~ 10198 prurq
1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ (bbch) >5.2×1061 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA--- (bbch) >5.6×1053 prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
1RB3RB3LA4LA2RB_2LB3RA---1RA1LA (bbch) >7.3×1028 prurq and Aristotle: proof in Lean, confirmed in Rocq
1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) >7×1021 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2RA3LA4LA2RB_2LA---1LA1RA3RA (bbch) >6.0×1021 prurq and LegionMammal978
1RB3LA4LA2RB1LA_2LA4RB---3RA3LA (bbch) >1.6×1020 prurq and LegionMammal978
1RB3LA4LA1LA2RA_2LA4RB---0RA0LA (bbch) > 1020 (more accurate runtime yet to be calculated) LegionMammal978
1RB1RZ4LA4LB2RA_2LB2RB3RB2RA0RB (bbch) >9×1016 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB3LA1LA0LB1RA_2LA4LB4LA1RA1RZ (bbch) >3.77×1016 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2RA1LA3LA2RA_2LA3RB4LA1LB1RZ (bbch) >9×1015 Terry and Shawn Ligocki
1RB2LB4RB2RB---_1LA3RA4RA3LB1LB (bbch) 6.64187×1015 mxdys
1RB2RB4LB2LB---_2LA0LA3RB0LA2RA (bbch) 3.1317×1015 mxdys
1RB0RA3LB1LB---_2LA3RB4RB3RA0LA (bbch) 2.7527×1015 mxdys

History

Timeline of bounds established for Σ(2,5) and S(2,5)[1]
Month of discovery Machine S(2,5) Σ(2,5) Discoverer Notes
February 2005 4RB2LA4LA4RA3LA_1LA4LA4RA3RB3LH (bbch) ≥ 16,268,767 ≥ 3,685 Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.[2] These bounds were published simultaneously.
4LB1RH2RA0LB3LB_2RA3LB3RB2LB1LB (bbch) ≥ 15,754,273 ≥ 4,099
April 2005 1RB4LA1LA2LA1RA_3LA1RZ1RA2RA4RB (bbch) ≥ 148,304,214 ≥ 11,120
August 2005 1RB3LA1LA1RA3RA_2LB3LA3RA4RB1RZ (bbch) ≥ 8,619,024,596 ≥ 90,604 Lafitte, G., Papazian, C.[2]
September 2005 1RB2RB3RB4LA3RA_0LA4RB1RZ0RB1LB (bbch) ≥ 7,543,673,517 ≥ 97,104
October 2005 1RB3RB3RB1LA3LB_2LA3RA4LB2RA1RZ (bbch) ≥ 233,431,192,481 ≥ 458,357
1RB3LB1RZ1LA1LA_2LA3RB4LB4LB3RA (bbch) ≥ 912,594,733,606 ≥ 1,957,771
December 2005 1RB3RA1LA1LB3LB_2LA4LB3RA2RB1RZ (bbch) ≥ 924,180,005,181 ≥ 1,137,477
May 2006 1RB3RA4LB2RA3LA_2LA2LZ4RB4RB2LB (bbch) ≥ 3,793,261,759,791 ≥ 2,576,467
June 2006 1RB3LB4LB4LA2RA_2LA4LZ3RB4RA3RB (bbch) ≥ 14,103,258,269,249 ≥ 4,848,239
July 2006 1RB3LA1LA4LA1RA_2LB2RA1RZ0RA0RB (bbch) ≥ 26,375,397,569,930 ≥ 143
August 2006 1RB0RB4RA2LB2LA_2LA1LB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) ≥ 7,069,449,877,176,007,352,687 ≥ 172,312,766,455 Ligocki, T., Ligocki, S.[2]
October 2007 1RB2LA4RA1LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB2RA1RZ (bbch) > 5.28 × 1061 > 9.38 × 1030
1RB2LA4RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB1RA1RZ (bbch) > 1.67 × 10211 > 5.28 × 10105 Another functionally equivalent machine which showed the same bounds was published simultaneously.
November 2007 1RB2LA1RA2LB2LA_0LA2RB3RB4RA1RZ (bbch) > 1.90 × 10704 > 1.78 × 10352
July 2023 1RB2LB4LB3LA1RZ_1LA3RA3LB0LB0RA (bbch) > 6.5 × 1038,033 > 7.3 × 1019,016 Kropitz, P.
June 2024 1RB3LA4RB0RB2LA_1LB2LA3LA1RA1RZ (bbch) > 1010103,314,360 Yuan, D.

Bounds highlighted in red indicate those which did not improve upon the best known at the time.

Certified progress

In April 2024, Shawn Ligocki publicly released a list of 23,411 undecided BB(2,5) machines. Justin Blanchard then made substantial progress over the course of the next month, reducing the list to 499 holdouts by late May 2024. In June 2024, @mxdys cut down the list to 273 using halting and inductive deciders, and again to 217 using CTL. In February 2025, @mxdys ran a decider pipeline in Rocq that resulted in only 173 holdouts. Since then, additional machines have been proven in Rocq using both deciders and individual proofs.

On 29 Mar 2025, @mxdys published a list of 83 holdouts that withstood state-of-the-art Rocq deciders. Over the course of 5 months, @mxdys added 8 machines to Rocq[1][2][3][4][5], lowering the certified holdout count to 75.

Using existing C++ deciders, Andrew Ducharme found two machines non-halting on 29 Jan 2026 and 11 Feb 2026. On 11 March 2026, Peacemaker II solved a permutation of one of the TMs Andrew solved by tweaking some of the decider parameters. @mxdys verified each result the days they were announced. Also on 11 Feb 2026, @mxdys proved in Rocq another TM as a translated cycler. This combined progress reduced the formal holdout count to 71.

On 16 March 2026, mxdys formalised a proof from October 2024 and a proof from October 2025, thus reducing the holdout count to 69.[6][7]

On 1 April 2026, Discord user mammillaria shared a Lean formalisation of the BMO 3 problem and its solution, which he created using Aristotle AI. Then mxdys formalised the result in Rocq using LLMs, then extended it the next day to solve a BMO 3 variant, reducing the holdout count to 66.

On 30 May 2026, Andrew Ducharme showed 1RB2LB---4LB0RB_1LA3RB4RB4RA1LB (bbch) nonhalting via FAR. mxdys verified the FAR solution in Rocq on 1 June.

On 8 September 2026, mxdys used the newest Rocq deciders to solve five holdouts, leaving only 60 formal holdouts.

On 9 October 2026 prurq showed that 1RB3LA1LA2RB2LB_1LB2RA4RA0RB--- (bbch) halts in ~10198 steps, using a Rocq-certified longitudinal simulator , lowering the formal holdouts count to 59.

On 3 November 2026, mxdys confirmed in Rocq the proofs in Lean of 22 TMs solved with AI assistance (GPT6 and Aristotle), releasing a formal list of 37 holdouts.

An often up-to-date and annotated spreadsheet of holdouts, based on the June 2024 list of 217 holdouts, is available here

Holdouts

This section is based on the list of 83 holdouts published by @mxdys, and includes further progress as of 3 November 2026. All TMs with known informal arguments for halting or non-halting before that date, were formally decided, leading to the latest 37 formal holdouts list.

Cryptids

Unsolved

Solved with moderate rigor

None

Formally proven

The 22 following machines have respectively 2 halting and 20 non-halting proofs formalized in Lean by @prurq, using AI agents Aristotle (solved 4 of them, mentioned in the list) and GPT6 (solved 18 of them, with information processing and proof formalization using Aristotle). Their proofs have been confirmed in Rocq by @mxdys on 3 November 2026:

  • 1RB4RA1LA4RB2LA_2LB3LA1RB2RA--- (bbch). Solved using Aristotle. Expected to halt in 5.6 x 1053 steps (prurq).

The 24 following machines were proven before the last 3 November 2026 release:

References